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Pacific Securities: The reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to focus on three directions. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that with the continuous breakthrough of new markets and technologies, the new cycle of photovoltaic parity is accelerating, and the reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to begin. It is suggested to focus on three directions: 1) The new cycle of supply and demand is expected to start in 2025, the industry quotation and profit are expected to be restored, and the leading advantages will be gradually highlighted. In 2025, it is expected to usher in a new round of growth, including Longji Green Energy and Jingke Energy. 2) New technology fields with large cost reduction space and continuous technology iteration, such as GCL Technology and Perovskite, are expected to fully benefit; 3) The advantages of supporting facilities and leading enterprises are prominent, and emerging markets are expected to promote the rapid improvement of shipments and profits, and the advantages of leading enterprises will be further enhanced, and enterprises such as Sunshine Power and Foster are expected to fully benefit.The Ministry of National Defense responded to the question of whether to engage in exercises: the situation is unpredictable, and the leader of the Taiwan Province region, Lai Qingde, recently "transited" Hawaii and Guam. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, Director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, answered a reporter's question on whether the PLA would conduct exercises. A: It is the sacred duty of the People's Liberation Army to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity, the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation and the common interests of compatriots on both sides of the strait. Soldiers have no constant potential and water is impermanent. Whether and when to hold the exercise is up to us to decide independently according to our own needs and the struggle situation. No matter whether the exercise is held or not, the PLA will not be absent or soft in fighting for "independence" and promoting reunification. Any act of "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries" and "seeking independence by force" will be severely punished and doomed to failure.The 30-year Treasury ETF rose sharply at the opening, hitting a record high. Both "Boshi SSE 30-year Treasury ETF" and "Pengyang China Bond -30-year Treasury ETF" rose by 0.65%.

Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.Party Committee of CITIC Group: Firmly support the CPC Central Committee's decision to punish Xu Zuo. According to the news of CITIC Group official micro on December 13th, recently, the Party Committee of CITIC Group held a meeting to convey the decision of the State Supervision Commission of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection to punish Xu Zuo. Xi Guohua, secretary and chairman of the Party Committee, presided over the meeting and made a speech, and members of the Party Committee made statements. Comrades attending the meeting unanimously expressed their firm support for the decision of the CPC Central Committee and the decision of the State Supervision Commission of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.

Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.The negative spread of 10-year treasury bonds between China and the United States has expanded to more than 250BP, the largest since June 2002.Pacific Securities: The reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to focus on three directions. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that with the continuous breakthrough of new markets and technologies, the new cycle of photovoltaic parity is accelerating, and the reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to begin. It is suggested to focus on three directions: 1) The new cycle of supply and demand is expected to start in 2025, the industry quotation and profit are expected to be restored, and the leading advantages will be gradually highlighted. In 2025, it is expected to usher in a new round of growth, including Longji Green Energy and Jingke Energy. 2) New technology fields with large cost reduction space and continuous technology iteration, such as GCL Technology and Perovskite, are expected to fully benefit; 3) The advantages of supporting facilities and leading enterprises are prominent, and emerging markets are expected to promote the rapid improvement of shipments and profits, and the advantages of leading enterprises will be further enhanced, and enterprises such as Sunshine Power and Foster are expected to fully benefit.